Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Title: Model-Based Evaluation of Cooling-off Policies Author-Name: Christian Michel Author-Email: christian.michel@upf.edu Author-Name: André Stenzel Author-Email: andre.stenzel@uni-mannheim.de Classification-JEL: D04, D18, D90 Keywords: Cooling-off, Equilibrium-based Inference, Identification of nonstandard preferences, Projection bias, Behavioral economics Abstract: This paper studies the ex-ante prediction and ex-post evaluation of the effects of cooling-off policies when consumers may exhibit a behavioral projection bias. We first set up a theoretical model and show that neither the adoption of a mandatory cooling-off period nor a return policy is generically superior or consumer welfare improving. Relating the model’s pre- and post-policy equilibrium combinations to their empirical analogues, we then show how market-level data can help to evaluate policies using baseline statistics and to sometimes even conclude whether consumers exhibit a projection bias. We further discuss the applicability to other policies and nonstandard preferences and the implications for policy design. Note: Length: 49 Creation-Date: 2018-11 Revision-Date: File-URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp061 File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:CRCTR224_2018_061v2