Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Title: Associative Memory and Belief Formation Author-Name: Benjamin Enke Author-Email: enke@fas.harvard.edu Author-Name: Frederik Schwerter Author-Email: frederik.schwerter@uni-koeln.de Author-Name: Florian Zimmermann Author-Email: florian.zimmermann@briqinstitute.org Classification-JEL: D01 Keywords: Beliefs, expectations, memory, bounded rationality Abstract: Information is often embedded in memorable contexts, which may cue the asymmetric recall of similar past news through associative memory. We design a theorydriven experiment, in which participants observe signals about hypothetical companies. Here, identical signal realizations are communicated with identical contexts: stories and images. Because participants asymmetrically remember those past signals that get cued by the current context, beliefs systematically overreact. This overreaction depends in predictable ways on the signal history; the correlation between signals and contexts; and the scope for forgetting and associative memory. We quantify these results by structurally estimating a model of associative recall. Note: Length: 72 Creation-Date: 2020-01 Revision-Date: File-URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp148 Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:CRCTR224_2020_148