Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Title: Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of Anticipated Policy Author-Name: Jan Gottschalk Author-Name: Florian Höppner Author-Email: Classification-JEL: E52, C32, C52 Keywords: Vector Autoregression, Systematic Monetary Policy, Historical Decomposition Abstract: This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane yielding the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated monetary policy had a considerable influence on output. Moreover, we compute the output effects of the systematic monetary policy response to aggregate demand and supply shocks. We find that monetary policy pursues a counter-cyclical policy in response to demand shocks and is pro-cyclical with regard to supply shocks, even though there are considerable lags. Note: Length: 32 Creation-Date: 2001-08 Revision-Date: File-URL: http://www.wiwi.uni-bonn.de/bgsepapers/bonedp/bgse21_2001.pdf File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:bon:bonedp:bgse21_2001