Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Title: A Percolation-Based Model Explaining Delayed Take-Off in New-Product Diffusion Author-Name: Martin Hohnisch Author-Name: Sabine Pittnauer Author-Name: Dietrich Stauffer Author-Email: Sabine.Pittnauer@uni-bonn.de Classification-JEL: C15, L15 Keywords: new-product diffusion, innovation adoption, spatial stochastic processes, percolation Abstract: A model of new-product diffusion is proposed in which a site-percolation dynamics represents socially-driven diffusion of knowledge about the product's characteristics in a population of potential buyers. A consumer buys the new product if her valuation of it is not below the price of the product announced by the firm in a given period. Our model attributes the empirical finding of a delayed ``take-off'' of a new product to a drift of the percolation dynamics from a non-percolating regime to a percolating regime. This drift is caused by learning-effects lowering the price of the product, or by network-effects increasing its valuation by consumers, with an increasing number of buyers. Note: Length: 18 Creation-Date: 2006-04 Revision-Date: File-URL: http://www.wiwi.uni-bonn.de/bgsepapers/bonedp/bgse9_2006.pdf File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:bon:bonedp:bgse9_2006